Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.060561 0.070484 0.081358 0.094137 0.108719 0.124817 0.143910
2025-02-09 0.042883 0.055258 0.070081 0.089059 0.112610 0.140772 0.176884
2025-02-16 0.032524 0.045907 0.063255 0.087188 0.119109 0.159952 0.215849
2025-02-23 0.024939 0.038270 0.056837 0.084227 0.123167 0.176023 0.252549
2025-03-02 0.019713 0.032667 0.051927 0.082110 0.127527 0.192460 0.291191
2025-03-09 0.016488 0.029292 0.049483 0.082869 0.135677 0.214672 0.339968
2025-03-16 0.013323 0.025328 0.045365 0.080241 0.138074 0.228333 0.377241
2025-03-23 0.011944 0.024083 0.045363 0.084067 0.150870 0.258915 0.443123
2025-03-30 0.010317 0.022055 0.043651 0.084653 0.158226 0.281380 0.498056
2025-04-06 0.008647 0.019601 0.040748 0.082637 0.160720 0.295864 0.540979
2025-04-13 0.007342 0.017609 0.038361 0.081156 0.163835 0.311473 0.586924
2025-04-20 0.006818 0.017158 0.038894 0.085264 0.177583 0.346780 0.669941
2025-04-27 0.006285 0.016616 0.039216 0.089110 0.191484 0.384046 0.760499
2025-05-04 0.005269 0.014744 0.036433 0.086218 0.191896 0.396547 0.807160
2025-05-11 0.004564 0.013472 0.034752 0.085401 0.196344 0.417017 0.870427
2025-05-18 0.003866 0.012060 0.032507 0.083001 0.197168 0.430441 0.921265
2025-05-25 0.003309 0.010894 0.030642 0.081169 0.198935 0.445797 0.977041
2025-06-01 0.002969 0.010261 0.029980 0.082055 0.206736 0.474054 1.060794
2025-06-08 0.002522 0.009199 0.028031 0.079518 0.206458 0.485355 1.110721
2025-06-15 0.002389 0.009086 0.028591 0.083349 0.221393 0.530344 1.234327
2025-06-22 0.002148 0.008565 0.027937 0.083949 0.228681 0.559269 1.325986
2025-06-29 0.001853 0.007780 0.026393 0.081958 0.229406 0.573658 1.387317
2025-07-06 0.001614 0.007127 0.025113 0.080493 0.231254 0.590688 1.455689